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Finance update Q3 2023

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 13th October 2023

13.10.23

After the more optimistic start to the year when stock markets, especially in the US, showed resilience and the roots of recovery from a horrendous 2022, the summer was much more mixed. The Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve didn’t raise interest rates in September, though the ECB did but from a lower level.

August was much more volatile than expected with investors trying to work out if inflation had peaked and if central banks were done with their unprecedented interest rate hikes, and when they might start thinking about cutting rates.

The oil price has also settled at a higher-than-expected level, which might be a sign of increased economic activity, but it doesn’t help to get rid of sticky inflation.

inflation

Higher for longer

Interest rates are a means of dealing with inflation. Central banks raise rates to increase costs and reduce spending power with the aim of lowering demand and squeezing prices. This is an art rather than a science. Central banks need to find the right balance of weakening demand, while avoiding a recession. This has proved fiendishly difficult and tackling inflation has seldom been achieved without some economic pain.

We are currently in the eye of the storm. Over the past 18 months, global interest rates have moved from near zero to over 5% in some places. Inflation is coming down and interest rates may have peaked, but monetary policy operates with an unpredictable lag. It is difficult to know how much of these interest rate rises have fed into the economy and whether a recession is just round the corner.

Investors will have to start getting used to these elevated levels of interest rates for longer as the consensus opinion is now that interest rate cuts won’t come quickly and won’t be significant until inflation is firmly under control. We are still very much in a holding pattern.

Is my money safe?

So should I keep my cash in my bank?

Of course, one of the few benefits of these hikes in interest rates is that you can now achieve some positive return on cash, which hasn’t been possible for around 15 years!!

I am having a lot of conversations with people asking why they should consider investing rather than leaving money in the bank.

This is a very good question… equity and bond investors have had very little, if any, positive returns since January 2022 so why invest now when I know I can now get returns on cash?

For someone with a very short-term time horizon, and therefore a very low risk profile, then cash earning around 5% will look attractive. Clearly tax is an issue, which will diminish this return but still it is at least a certainty.

What about those with longer time horizons – should they stay in cash given the high returns relative to recent history?

There are several considerations here:

1. Sticky Inflation

If base level inflation is to remain higher for longer then we still need to consider the NET return you will be getting on your cash.

Here is a chart showing UK Inflation and UK interest rates over the last 30 years – even today inflation, though falling, is still above base rates:

Inflation matters

Put another way – if we take one away from the other we can see that the REAL return on cash today is still negative (the green line) – that’s a guaranteed loss of 3.75% over the next 12 months.

The difference between interest rates and inflation

Put another way again… what can you buy in 5 years if things remain as they are today? See below for a real world example of how inflation affects us all:

Money illusion

2. Other investments should do better…

BONDS:

Most investments are valued versus the ‘risk-free’ rate of return (ie cash).

So when cash was paying you 0.1% many investors were happy to accept 1.5% to 2% from high-quality investment grade bonds, even though they come with a little more risk….

… so there is a strong case for buying bonds today yielding 6% to 7% because we are happy to be paid the extra 1.5% to 2% for the extra risk we are taking… this is exactly where bond ‘yields are today’.

Bond yields

SHARES:

Though more volatile, shares have always outperformed cash AND inflation over the longer term.

Investments in shares
Initial investments

And expectations over the coming years are that shares will continue to outstrip returns on cash:

Equities will return more than cash

In Summary

We feel that we are getting closer to understanding a little more about how the future might look. Inflation seems to have peaked but will remain sticky for a while, which will mean interest rates are likely to stay higher too for longer than originally thought.

The chance of global recession is still there but nor lower and the consensus appears to be that it will be soft and short if it emerges at all. This can be good for stock market performance but in the meantime cash and bonds are, for the first time in a very long time, a genuine investment option; though sticky inflation must be taken into account when choosing how much to leave in cash.

Inflation is a financial reality that we all need to navigate. By proactively addressing this challenge and exploring investment opportunities that protect your wealth, we can work together to ensure your financial future remains secure.

If you have capital to invest for longer than the next couple of years then an actively managed multi asset approach should be considered to minimise the effects of inflation on your hard earned funds.

I would very much like to thank the investment teams at Pacific Asset Management, Rathbones Investment Management and Evelyn Partners for their input into this data and summary.

If you would like to dive deeper into these subjects please check out the following links:

3rd Quarter Outlook from Pacific Asset Management

Why do interest rates and inflation matter for investors from Evelyn Partners

Will interest rates plateau after peaking from Rathbones

Feel free to get in touch if you have any questions via the below channels, or the booking system – always drop me a quick message if you need a time slot outside of those available.

If you have missed any previous emails, click here to access the Archive.

For now, have a great day, speak soon…

Introducing your Client Portal

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 5th October 2023

05.10.23

CashCalc

What is the Cash Calc Secure Client Portal?

Cash Calc was launched back in 2014 by a UK IFA who was unimpressed with the digital tools available to our industry. It was initially launched as a Cash Flow Planning Calculator – more on this later, but has developed into a broad suite of great tools for advisers like me and their clients.

“seek first to understand, then to be understood”

In order to best advise my existing and future clients I need a full picture of their current situation and an understanding of their objectives, aspirations and goals – we rather boringly call this ‘fact finding’… though it is not all just facts!

A recent addition to the Cash Calc tools is the ability for my clients to complete or update their own fact find in their own time from the comfort of their own homes via the Client Portal, if they want to. It is totally secure and can be updated as little or as often as necessary.

We can also use the portal for the secure sharing of documents, like investment statements, passports, utility bills etc AND for secure two way messaging.

For those who prefer not to use this service, please don’t worry, I will still use it as a data storage tool but will manage the access and information myself.

Please check out this video for more:

Hop Onboard

If you are already ‘onboarded’ and have your Portal login details please do have another look and send me a quick message (top right corner of the screen) to say hi and confirm it is all working OK.

Some of my existing clients have stated a preference to have their quarterly investment statements shared via the portal as a more secure option than email – please don’t hesitate to let me know if you prefer this too?

If you are not yet ‘onboarded’ please don’t worry, as part of our review process I will be sending you a personalised ‘secure invitation’ to the portal to set it all up; it is very easy.

Of course, if you just can’t wait please drop me a line and I will send your personalised login details immediately.

cashcalc onboarding

Cash Flow Financial Modelling Tool

As mentioned above Cash Calc started as a ‘Cash Flow Planning Calculator’ and though it is now so much more, this remains one of the most powerful and useful tools for creating truly personalised financial plans.

Using the ‘fact find’ data you provide in the portal I can create multiple bespoke cash flow plans to look at various scenarios and forecast how your financial situation will evolve over time.

“can I afford to retire now?”
“can we pay for our daughter’s wedding?”
“can we fund our Grandchildren’s education?”

We can see graphically where you are today and what changes, tweaks or decisions need to be made to ensure you will be ok long into the future.

Cashcalc1

Why I love it…

  • Its not time critical – you can upload and enter your details in your own time, at your own pace
  • Totally Secure – bank level encryption, customised for the Spectrum IFA Group
  • Simple interface between us for sharing of documents, messages and, most importantly, for uploading up-to-date financial information
  • I am notified as you make changes to your profile
  • ‘Virtual’ Modelling tool with scenario based examples
  • Very Visual – it’s easy to see how changes will directly impact your situation as we tweak your plans
  • Digitally and securely accept and sign-off on a range of documents
  • Quarterly Financial statements can also be shared here instead of emailed

….. oh, and it has a load of other great tools we can use too…..

Financial update in France October 2023

By Katriona Murray-Platon
This article is published on: 4th October 2023

04.10.23

September is a gorgeous month in France and this year has been no exception. For me September often goes by in a whirl – with the children back at school there are still after school activities to organise and parent-teacher meetings to attend.

However, for those who are not affected by the back to school mayhem September is a great time to enjoy the warmer weather and the beauty spots of France once the summer tourists have left.

Further to what I wrote in my last Ezine, the interest rate on the Livret A and Livret de Développement Durable et Solidaire (LDDS), which was expected to rise to 4%, shall instead remain at 3% and the French government has committed to keeping it at this rate until 2025. However, an appeal against this decision has been brought before the Conseil d’Etat. The interest rate of the Livret d’Epargne Populaire (LEP) has already dropped slightly from 6.1% to 6%.

If you realise you have forgotten to declare something on your 2022 tax return or you wish to correct an amount, you can, since the 1st August, amend your return on your online space on the impots.gouv.fr website. This service will be available until 11.59pm on 6th December. You should have already received your tax statement for the declaration you did in May and you should pay the amounts requested on this statement but if you do decide to amend your tax return, a new statement will be issued and any overdue amounts will be adjusted or repaid.

The tax authorities should already have your bank details that you provided to take any overdue tax from your account or pay any reimbursements. If this is not the case and if you have less that €300 to pay, you have to pay this by 30th September using the online service. If you have more than €300 to pay on your 2022 tax bill, these amounts will be taken on 26th September and around the 25th of October and November with the last quarter of the payment being taken out of your account on 27th December.

taxe fonciere in france

October is the month for the taxe foncière which is due by 16th October or 23rd October if you pay online or with your telephone or tablet. If you have already received your statement, you may have noticed an increase in the amount. The taxe foncière increased by 3.4% in 2022 but it has increased by 7.1% in 2023. This is an average and does not include any increases that the local councils may have voted. The sharp increase is due in part to the annual review of the rental value of the property which takes into account the Consumer Price Index which itself is determined by inflation.

Not everyone has to pay the taxe foncière. There are exemptions for those on pension benefits (ASPA) or disability allowance (ASI and AAH) as well as for those who were 75 and over on 1st January 2023 if your taxable income (RFR) for 2022 was less than €11,855 for one person or €18,233 for a couple. If one partner is over 75 and the other isn’t they can still be exempt. If a person is in a retirement home, their former home, provided it is not rented, is also exempt. New constructions, extensions or changes to buildings (a barn conversion for example) may be partially or totally exempt from taxe foncière for the first 2 years unless the local council has decided otherwise.

Although 2022 was a difficult year financially, this has not stopped the French from investing in Assurance Vie policies. According to the data published in the Le Particulier magazine in September (no 1208), 144.4 billion euros was invested in assurance vies in 2022, only slightly down from 2021 when 148.6 billion euros was invested. Most of this was in Euro Funds which, in spite of their steady decline over the past ten years, saw a slight increase in 2022 to 2% which is however less than the rates on the Livret A and LDDS.

In other news in September, I had the very great privilege of being invited to the GREAT event, organised by the British Embassy, in honour of the King and Queen’s visit to Bordeaux in September. Around 1500 people, French and British, were invited to this special event at the historic Place de la Bourse where we mingled with other members of the Bordeaux British community, bilingual professionals and business owners; sampled British foods, wines and sparkling wine and enjoyed music by local British artists. In addition to seeing the King and Queen, who arrived by tram to this event, Paddington Bear also made an appearance and the Fiji Rugby Team were also there and sang a beautiful song to the King as he was leaving. It was a very special and enjoyable day!

Financial update – France September 2023

By Katriona Murray-Platon
This article is published on: 4th September 2023

04.09.23

I hope you all had a good summer. We spent ten days in Andernos and then enjoyed a much cooler ten days visiting family in the UK. Whilst I was in the UK I saw an advert in the paper for a bank savings account offering around 5% interest on amounts up to £50,000.

However, I noticed that in order to benefit from this rate you would have to commit to leaving the money there for two full years otherwise if you took the money out you would only get around 2% interest. A quick scan of the finance section of the paper showed similar offers. Now, leaving aside the fact that once you are French resident you can’t open a UK bank account, with inflation in July being 6.8% in the UK these rates are still far below inflation. IF you were to have one of these accounts and be a French resident you would need to reduce the interest rate by 30% because that is the French tax that you would have to pay on any gains. Also there is exchange rate risk that needs to be considered.

Some other accounts were brought to my attention in Jersey. However there is no double tax treaty between France and Jersey so any interest earned would be taxable in both countries.

I always advise people to take advantage of the French tax free savings accounts like the LDDS and the Livret A and the LEP if you meet the income threshold BEFORE investing. If you add the CEL account to this list it effectively means you can hold around €50,000 readily available cash earning tax free interest. These rates are reviewed quarterly on 1st of February, May, August and November. You will be pleased to hear that there have been no changes to these rates as at 1st August 2023.

One of the key points about investments is diversification. Not only are the investments we recommend very diversified in terms of geographic location and asset class but if you have invested with us this is usually only a part of your assets.

finance up in France

All investments whether it is your house, your bank accounts, or your other investments, involve some level of risk. You only have to look at the history of the rates on the savings accounts HERE or the current concerns about house prices and mortgage rates in the UK, to see that nothing is guaranteed in the long term. But what we can show you from the past performance of the investments we offer is that over the past three or five years they have performed well. And the longer the investment term, the greater the likelihood of strong, positive returns ahead of the rate of inflation.

Another thing we managed to do at the end of July was to complete our wills and make stipulations about the guardianship of our children. I wrote about guardianship HERE but I admit I never got round to doing anything about it until now. The husband of a French financial adviser that I recently met is the Notaire in an office in our neighbourhood so we were able to make an appointment with him. We hand wrote our wills before the notaire, signed and dated them and then handed them in with a cheque for them to be registered. It was all very easy and I’m glad that it is now sorted.

By now you should have been able to view your tax statements in your online tax account, if you have any questions about the figures please do let me know.

After a long and much needed break, I am excited to be back at work and arrange appointments with my clients and those who have contacted me. If you want to speak to me about something please do let me know.

Looking forward to speaking or hearing from you soon!

Preparing for the inevitable

By Richard McCreery
This article is published on: 4th September 2023

04.09.23

A few tips on how planning ahead, as well as looking back, can make a difficult time much easier on our loved ones. It comes to us all, but we devote relatively little time to thinking about it: death.

Unsurprisingly, most people prefer to avoid thinking about their own mortality, but they are keen to ease the pain for loved ones who are left behind. In this short article I’ll take a look at some tips to make this time a little less hard on your family and I’ll even give you an idea of how you can leave behind a moment of happiness for your closest relatives.

Make ‘The Folder’

My colleague Gareth Horsfall has written about the importance of ensuring your paperwork is in order and stored where your relatives can find everything they’ll need to get through the formalities that inevitably ensue from your passing. The Folder is a central location (digital, physical or both) where you keep a record of all your assets, your bank accounts, your pensions and investments, as well as a copy of all your important documents like birth certificates, marriage certificates, your social security number etc. And, finally, a list of all your internet and device passwords, of which there could be a lot!

Modern life can be extremely complicated whilst we are still alive and it becomes even more so when you have to deal with someone else’s affairs that may not be entirely familiar to you. By collecting all the important paperwork and information in one place, you can ease the inevitable administrative burden and show your loved ones that you were thinking about them. And don’t forget to tell them where they can find The Folder.

the folder

Close old overseas accounts and companies

I was once asked to help the wife of a client to deal with some of the inheritance formalities that were required for the settlement of his estate after he died. Wealthy people often have assets in various countries and this can lead to significant extra time and expense when attempting to transfer everything from the deceased’s estate to the beneficiaries.

For example, the ownership of a British Virgin Islands company can’t be transferred to someone else before probate is granted in that jurisdiction, which entails securing the services of a local qualified lawyer. If that company is no longer needed once the deceased is gone then further fees will be incurred in BVI for closing that company. Multiply this scenario across various foreign jurisdictions and it can become quite costly and time consuming in order to settle the full estate.

Conclusion: if you can simplify your affairs by closing underutilized overseas companies or dormant bank accounts, it can save your family a lot of hassle and money later.

Avoid paying more tax than is necessary

Ironically, inheritance tax is a fact of life. It is often only considered when it has to be paid and it can be surprisingly substantial – in France a house can swallow up any allowances you may benefit from, leaving the remainder to be taxed at up to 45% for children and up to 60% for non-family beneficiaries. By using an assurance vie policy as a vehicle for managing some of your wealth you can substantially increase the tax-free sums your loved ones inherit, they may pay a lower tax rate on the amount that is taxed, you can use the beneficiary clause to choose who gets what and the money can grow free of tax during your lifetime if not withdrawn.

Everyone hates paying inheritance tax, so when you know that your children can inherit an extra 152,500€ each tax-free if the money is coming from an assurance vie policy, it quickly becomes apparent how much you can save them (don’t forget: in order to get the maximum benefit, you should start your policy before you turn 70). They say there are only two things that are certain in life: death and taxes. Whilst you can’t avoid the first, your family might avoid the second with a bit of foresight and planning.

Finally, leave them something really personal

You’ve finished tidying up the loose ends of your life, you’ve done all you can to minimize the tax your family will pay and your affairs have been put ‘in order’. You have made every effort to ensure your passing will be as little of a burden on your beneficiaries as is possible, you have made a difficult time less difficult by thinking ahead. There is also a way to use this moment to bring some joy into the lives of those who love you: by thinking back on your life.

A memory journal is a little treasure that helps you to record some of the most precious moments of your life, to be passed on to your children or grandchildren. It is a guided book that contains prompts and questions such as ‘How did you meet my mother?’, ‘What was your favourite subject at school?’, ‘Tell me about the happiest or greatest memories of your life’ or ‘What did you feel when you first saw me after I was born?’ It gives you the opportunity to leave your family the story of your life, your most intimate thoughts and feelings, perhaps alongside a few photos.

Money and paperwork are important, they have to be dealt with. Put everything in order, in advance, and you will be doing your family a big favour. Leave them as much money as you can tax-free and you’ll ensure they will be better off. And finally, a few of your own words left alongside the admin makes this difficult time more bearable. These things are easily put off, you may not even want to think about them, but if you take action sooner rather than later, I promise you will never regret it.

If you would like to speak me about planning ahead and putting your family affairs in order, please get in touch. I’m here to help and happy to answer any questions with no obligation.

Finance update Q2 2023

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 4th August 2023

04.08.23

This update is a look back at 2022 and the year so far in 2023! I believe that 2022 was one of the toughest years of the 25 of my career in terms of the very difficult conversations I had with many of my clients. Those 25 years included the DotCom Bubble, 9:11, the invasion of Afghanistan, the second Iraq war and the Global Financial Crisis.

2022 was different for one main reason… it seriously affected Cautious and Balanced investors and as most of my clients are retired and therefore dependent on their capital for income, it means they need to take a more cautious or balanced approach to managing their money.

So what happened?
At the start of 2022 markets were pricing in a low to moderate increase in interest rates for the whole year, how wrong they were … in fact, the US Federal Reserve raised rates by 4% in 2022 and have carried on into 2023 and many other central banks followed suit.

When interest rates rise, the values of government and corporate bonds fall but long-standing portfolio theory states that bonds must always make up a large part of cautious portfolios, hence the very difficult year for cautious investors. Equities (shares) didn’t fare much better but have shown a faster recovery towards the end of 2022 and into 2023.

This chart shows four different typical risk profiles over the last 2 ½ years taking in the recovery from Covid to the inflation spike, invasion of Ukraine and the year so far. Highlighting the tough times that cautious (green line) and balanced (orange line) investors have had over the past few years.

FE FUNDINFO 2023

So why did this happen?
Inflationary pressures had started to build up as economies reopened after the Covid pandemic. Supply chain disruption during the pandemic created shortages, which collided with a sudden increase in demand. An under-investment in energy, particularly fossil fuels also contributed to inflation through higher oil and gas prices.

The war in Ukraine shifted this inflation problem to a full-blown cost-of-living crisis. Central banks were slow to act initially, thinking it was all linked to the pandemic, but it soon became clear that rising prices would be more persistent than expected. Central banks had no alternative but to raise interest rates.

Financial Markets in 2022

Financial Markets in 2022

Equities
2022 was a year most investors would rather forget, with bond and equity markets seeing significant falls and uncomfortable volatility. Importantly, holding a portfolio of bonds and equities provided little protection, as both asset classes proved correlated to high inflation.

The year also saw a considerable rotation from “growth” to “value”, ending the long dominance by the technology sector. In particular, many of the stock market darlings of the previous decade saw weakness – Meta Platforms, Amazon, Alphabet and Netflix. At the same time, investors had assumed the strong performance of areas such as e-commerce during the pandemic would persist in a normal environment. It didn’t, earnings fell and share prices were hit hard.

Energy was the only obvious victor at a time when commodity prices were high, though share price rises slowed in the second half of the year as governments demanded a share of their windfall profits. Nevertheless, the sector remained the best performing of 2022.

The UK stock market outpaced most of its international peers due to a bias in the year’s most popular sectors such as mining, commodities, oil and gas, and the shift away from growth sectors such as technology, which are only lightly represented in UK equity markets.

Bonds
It was a grim year for bond markets, which had to contend with rising inflation and interest rates. Where the US led, other bond markets followed. The UK has its own idiosyncratic problems, when an ill-judged ‘mini-budget’ under new Prime Minister Liz Truss in September 2022 crashed the pound and caused a spike in UK borrowing costs.

As discussed above, rising yields meant significant losses for investors. Most bond investors saw double-digit falls in their bond investments over the year. It may be little reassurance, but bond prices have recovered from those lows and yields are now at more reasonable levels reflecting the interest rate environment more accurately. They may once again be able to fulfil their traditional role in portfolios – as a source of income and a diversifier from equities.

Financial Markets in 2023

Financial Markets so far in 2023

So, with this backdrop and a difficult year behind us how have things fared so far in 2023?

Firstly, the gloomy scenario envisaged by many economists at the start of the year has not come to pass. The much-anticipated US recession has been deferred, while financial markets have remained resilient.

The IMF is now predicting a rise in global growth for 2023 though much of this growth won’t becoming from developed economies while emerging markets economies are expected to expand led by China and India.

Inflation has come down but has proved far stickier than many expected, with labour markets remaining healthy across most major economies. This has forced central bankers to continue raising interest rates. While the US Federal Reserve appears to have paused with central bank rates of 5.25%, the UK and eurozone central banks are still raising rates and have indicated further rises may lie ahead.

Financial markets have been resilient. The disruption created by the collapse of several banks proved short-lived, with swift action from policymakers and regulators preventing wider problems.

The US stock market has seen a surprising surge from the technology sector. After a grim year in 2022, against expectations, they roared back in 2023. The galvanising force has been generative artificial intelligence, with excitement around Chat GPT creating interest in semiconductor companies such as Nvidia as businesses look to invest in this new technology.

The US economy continues to deliver mixed messages. A buoyant labour market has continued to reduce expectations of a deep recession.The Fed has remained resolute on interest rates, although it paused rate rises in June, it has made it clear that it is willing to raise them again should inflation continue to rise.

Recession appeared an inevitability for the UK economy at the start of the year. As it is, it has not materialised, with falling energy prices, government support and a resilient consumer all acting to shore up growth. Inflation has remained stubbornly high and so the Bank of England has been forced to keep raising interest rates, which are now expected to peak at around 6%.

The UK stock market had a weak start to the year as commodity prices fell and the banking sector was hit by the failures of Credit Suisse in Europe and Silicon Valley Bank in the US. The resurgence of US technology stocks also impacted the UK market as investors swapped from “value” back to “growth” companies.

It was a stronger period for stock markets in Europe as company earnings improved and outstripped the US early in the year. A mild winter and prompt action by governments across the region saw an energy crisis averted. The region was also lifted by the resurgence of China, which is an important export market, particularly for Germany and Spain.

The European Central Bank raised interest rates to 3.5% in June, their highest level in 22 years. Eurozone Consumer price inflation declined steadily from over 10% in October 2022.

The outlook for Asia has been dominated by China. The country’s reopening in October 2022 led hopes of galvanising global economic growth at the start of the year. However, the initial stock market rally petered out as growth has not bounced as many had hoped. Confidence has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels.

Asian markets have continued to lag their global counterparts as expectations of a swift return to economic growth in China have receded. Nevertheless, there remain plenty of reasons to be optimistic as Chinese stimulus for infrastructure projects is beginning to feed through to the economy.

Japan has been rediscovered by investors in 2023, with veteran investor Warren Buffet making a high-profile investment in the country’s stock markets. The Japanese economy is also starting to improve as reopening gathers pace and wage growth drives consumer spending. As a net importer, it is also benefiting from lower oil prices, which is helping to improve the Government’s fiscal position.

Bonds
The yield (interest paid) on US ten-year government bonds dipped in April, but moved back up as investors started to anticipate more rate rises ahead. Short-dated bonds now have higher yields than longer-dated bonds. This situation is known as an inverted yield curve and means investors expect rates to be cut over the longer term.

This “inversion” is currently common place, with 37 countries now trading with inverted yield curves, including the UK,Germany, France and Canada.

Financial markets

Conclusion

Financial markets seem to be in a holding pattern, waiting to see how much impact higher interest rates will have on economic activity and looking for clear signs that the interest rate cycle has peaked, and the next rate move is downwards. From the strength of China’s recovery to a potential recession in the US to the resilience of the corporate sector, there are major questions going into the second half of this year.

I am, once again, very grateful to the team at Evelyn Partners for their help in putting this summary together and hope it is useful in framing where we are today and how we got here.

They have some excellent articles on the impact of AI and the basics of how Bonds work.

https://www.evelyn.com/insights-and-events/insights/megatrends-how-will-ai-impact-your-future-investments

https://www.evelyn.com/insights-and-events/insights/the-basics-of-bonds

Unlock Your Financial Success with Our Exclusive Guides!

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 3rd July 2023

03.07.23

As part of my commitment to providing you with the knowledge and resources to navigate the complex world of finance with ease, I am pleased that you can now download four indispensable guides that cover a range of important financial topics.

  1. Understanding Investment Risk
  2. French Tax Changes and Planning Opportunities for 2023
  3. Responsible Investing and ESG Funds – The Spectrum Approach
  4. Unveiling the Benefits of Assurance Vie – Tax Efficient Saving and Investments in France

To access these resources, simply click on each of the links.

I am a firm believer that knowledge is the key to financial success, and these guides are designed to empower you on your financial journey. Whether you’re an experienced investor or just starting out, these guides offer valuable insights to help you make well-informed decisions.

Spectrum IFA Guide to investment risk

Understanding Investment Risk
Investing can be both rewarding and challenging – in this guide, we try to demystify investment risk. I believe risk can be thought of like energy: it is neither created nor destroyed, it simply changes from one category to another.

Click the image to find out more.

french tax guide 2023

French Tax Changes and Planning Opportunities for 2023
Taxation is a crucial aspect of financial planning, particularly if you reside in France or have financial ties to the country. Our guide summarises the current French tax landscape for 2023 – providing you with an overview of tax changes and planning opportunities.

Click the image to find out more.

ESG Responsible Investing

Responsible Investing and ESG Funds – The Spectrum Approach
Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing has gained significant momentum, allowing investors to align their portfolios with their values. This guide delves into the world of sustainable investing, providing insights into ESG principles, investment strategies, and the potential impact of ESG factors on financial performance.

Click the image to find out more.

Tax Efficient Savings & Investments in France

Tax Efficient Savings & Investments in France 2023
Unveiling the Benefits of Assurance Vie

Assurance Vie is a popular long-term savings and investment product in France. Discover the advantages, tax benefits, and investment options associated with Assurance Vie in our comprehensive guide. Learn how to leverage this powerful tool to secure your financial future.

Click the image to find out more.

Remember, I am here to support you. If you have any questions or need further assistance, please feel free to reach out via the below contact form, or the booking system below.

Financial update June 2023

By Katriona Murray-Platon
This article is published on: 19th June 2023

19.06.23

Tax season is drawing to a close. However this year there is still something you need to make sure you have done before you can get out there and enjoy the summer weather.

You may still need to do the property declaration that I mentioned in my February edition. The declaration service has been available for several months now and so enough time has passed to be able to address some of the issues that have arisen.

Just as a reminder, if you own a property, and therefore pay taxe foncière, you have to declare the buildings on the land you own if they existed on 1st January. Because the Taxe d’habitation has been scrapped for main residences the French authorities want to find out which buildings are occupied and rented (even if just for holidays) which will allow them to more accurately establish the taxe d’habitation on second homes this autumn.

You must declare anyone who is occupying a property which belongs to you, even if it is a family member living there for free. However if you are only renting a room in your house, you do not need to declare this separately.

Financial update France

If the ownership of the property is divided between the bare owners (nu proprietaries) and the beneficiaries (usufruitiers) it is the latter who should declare the property on their online tax account.

You may have noticed that any outhouses, sheds and garages also appear on the declaration. If these have been converted to be rented or are simply let as parking spaces, they still need to be declared. A garage that is less than 1km from the main house is considered as adjacent to the property and therefore may be included in the surface area calculation for the taxe d’habitation.

The declaration can only be done online. If you do not have access to the internet (or know someone who doesn’t) or if you or they are really having problems completing this form online, you can call the tax office on the number below or make an appointment with your local tax office and they can assist you. Some post offices also have someone there who can help you with administrative matters.

If you have any problems with the declaration you can call the tax office on 0809 401401 or use the messenger service and the drop down menu to select the problem.

If you have an elderly resident who has gone into a home but has kept their former home and it is rented, they still need to declare it. There is an exemption from taxe d’habitation for residents of retirement homes (Ehpads).

If you rent a property you have to declare what kind of rental it is (long term or holiday let) and the identity of your tenants but you don’t need to declare the actual rent received just yet, this will only become mandatory in 2025.

You have until the end of June to complete this declaration so do take your time to make sure that the information is correct.

As always if you have any questions on this or any other matters please do get in touch!

How is France doing?

By Richard McCreery
This article is published on: 17th May 2023

17.05.23

If you live in France, the general impression you might have is of a country that is dragged down by strikes and protests, that the cost of living is soaring and the dream of retiring whilst still young is under threat. But it is not all bad news. If you have investments in France, or are planning to retire here, there are several reasons to be cheerful about the state of the country.

Despite fears of a possible recession, France’s GDP grew 0.2% in the latest quarter and was 0.8% higher than a year earlier – not exactly blowing the lights out but coping reasonably well with Eurozone interest rates that have risen to 3.75%. In fact, you can still get a 20-year mortgage in France and pay less than 3%, so the housing market is not coming under the same pressure as it is in some countries like the US, where a typical mortgage now costs 6.5%, or Sweden, where house prices have fallen sharply.

At 7.2%, France’s unemployment rate is around the lowest level it has been for several decades. The more people in work, the better. Inflation may be historically high at 5.9% but this is lower than the Eurozone average of 7% and considerably less painful than the UK’s 10.1% rate. We were very lucky that the government capped energy price rises at 4% last year and 15% this year.

Where France has more of a problem is its debt levels, partly because of that low retirement age but also because of the government’s generosity during the pandemic, although France is hardly alone in this. France’s government debt-to-GDP ratio has swelled from 97% in 2019 to 111% today. It is because France’s national debt has grown to almost 3 trillion Euros, and because it is so hard for the government to do anything about it without triggering widespread rioting, that the rating agency Fitch recently downgraded the country’s credit rating to AA- (outlook: Stable). This still leaves it slightly better off than the UK, whose outlook is Negative.

Living in France

But President Macron is making efforts to build on France’s substantial industrial base, asking Elon Musk and other business leaders to invest in the country. In fact, according to accounting firm EY, France is the most attractive country in Europe for foreign investment and has been for four years in a row. It is also the home of LVMH, which recently became the 7th largest company in the world, worth more than half a trillion Dollars, as well as Kering (the owner of Gucci) and Hermès. French luxury goods companies are the European stock market equivalent of Big Tech stocks in the US, they seem to go from strength-to-strength and have powered the CAC 40 to a record high this year. French banks also seem to have come through the recent turmoil in the sector relatively unscathed.

France has a great standard of living, it is the world’s number one tourist destination and the economy is on a fairly sound footing. Taxes are high, but residents also have access to very tax efficient investment vehicles that can reduce exposure to income tax and inheritance tax, with the right planning and advice. There is a lot to be said for investing in the EU’s second largest economy. Despite the burning barricades on the nightly news, France is doing fine right now.

Please contact me to discuss the valuable investment and tax planning opportunities currently available to French residents.

Click on the calendar and book a free consultation with me now

Financial update May 2023

By Katriona Murray-Platon
This article is published on: 10th May 2023

10.05.23

The tax season is fully underway and whilst those who are declaring for the first time by paper have until 22nd May to complete their returns and most other people in most departments have until early June to complete their tax return, many people want to get it done as soon as possible.

Now that all the forms are available (which can be downloaded here) we can have a clearer idea of how to declare.

If you have employed someone to do your tax return, the chances are you have already sent off all your information. However if you want to have a go at doing your own tax return, here are my top tips for this year!

Tax in France

Tips for your taxes

Everything is declarable, not everything will be taxable!

  1. Get all your information together. If you are using your SATR from the UK, make sure you decide which number you are using (April 22 or April 23) and stick to that method for UK based income. If you suddenly change and start taking the figures from your bank account then you will be double taxed on the first four months of the year. Collect all your statements, payslips, tax certificates together in the one place and note down the figures for all your sources of income and the exchange rate at the date of payment (or the annual average).
  2. You need to declare all your income on the main tax form (called the 2042), you will also need to put any foreign sourced income on the 2047 and you will need to declare all your non-French bank accounts on the 3916. If you are doing the return for the first time on paper you will need a paper copy of all these forms. You will also need the 2042 C form as that is where you will find boxes 8SH and 8SI that you must tick if you have an S1 so that social charges aren’t charged on your pensions and that the reduced rate of social charges of 7.5% as opposed to 17.2% are charged on any investment income.
  3. Healthcare: If you are declaring online you need to tick box 8SH and 8SI to inform the French authorities that you are covered for your healthcare by another system of the EU (including the UK).
  4. Bank accounts and assurance vies: If you are declaring online you need to tick box 8TT (for assurance vies) and 8UU (for bank accounts) in order to create the 3916 form which needs to be completed with the details of these accounts. If you are declaring on the paper form, these boxes are at the bottom of the main 2042 form. If you are declaring an assurance vie you will need to have the value (in euros) of the account as at 1st January 2022.
  5. Foreign sourced income must go on the 2047 form (the pink one). Most foreign pensions and salaries go in section 1 of this form but UK salaries, UK rental income, UK Government pensions, which are all declared in France but given a tax credit equivalent to the tax that would have been paid in France all have to go into Section 6 of this form in order to get the tax credit (box 8TK on the 2042 form).
  6. Don’t forget any charitable donations that you made in 2022. French based charities send you a tax certificate, so you can use this to enter the correct amount.
  7. Don’t forget the kids! The tax credit for child care costs for children under 6 (born after 1st January 2016) have increased from €2300 to €3500 per child and you get 50% of this amount. This is for expenses for a nanny (nounou), nursery, after school care and holiday club. If however your child is now over 6 but you still have someone to collect them from school, this is counted as a home help tax credit (see below).
  8. Tax credits for home help. If you have a gardener or cleaner or have had some other home help in 2022, and you haven’t already received the tax credit automatically, you can declare these amounts on the 2042 RICI form here You are allowed at tax credit of 50% of any expenses up to a maximum of €12,000.

Not everything has to be 100% accurate. If you get close to the deadline, just submit your tax return as it is, you can amend the tax return, without penalties, through the correction service which will open at the beginning of August.

If you have any questions please let me know by email but if you would rather speak to me about something, please do give me a call.