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Financial update France April 2026

By Katriona Murray-Platon
This article is published on: 4th April 2026

04.04.26

March has been a rather long and hectic month not just in terms of workload but also due to the ongoing geo-political situation. Since the joint US and Israeli strikes on Iran on 28th February, we have faced soaring oil prices and persistent market volatility. With no clear exit strategy, investors remain nervous.

The investment landscape has changed significantly. One fund manager recently shared that while his career began with decisions based on technical data and analysis, he now finds himself monitoring Truth Social for indications of policy direction. The traditional “quiet weekend” has been replaced by the risk of late-night social media updates from the US President that can pivot global markets come Monday morning.

Despite a consensus that Iran needs to de-escalate to alleviate the economic pain felt by its regime and populace, and that US troops on the ground would be highly risky with no guarantee of success, both sides continue to match each other’s threats. Just last night President Trump seemed to suggest that the war would continue for another couple of weeks.

Oil and gas price rises have continued to rise over the past few weeks. Brent crude oil was 63.3% higher for the month, the largest monthly percentage rise on record over recent decades.

The markets remain understandably pre-occupied by the Middle Eastern conflict, and specifically the impact on energy prices. This could also affect inflation expectations leading to central banks possibly raising interest rates.

tax return

Turning to France, tax season will soon begin as the online tax declarations will commence from 9th April. If you want to make a start on your tax return, now is the time to ensure that all the papers and information are ready to be entered into the declaration.

The MaPrimeRenov website is now back up and running (since 23rd February). Lower income households can obtain financial help for just one type of improvement, but other households will have to plan to do several renovations. A back log has built up due to the site closure, so expect delays. There is also a new requirement that you must speak to a MaPrimeRenov adviser before the work begins.

You can now choose whether you would prefer that your investment income be taxed at the flat tax rate or at your marginal rate. Previously by ticking the box 2OP on the tax declaration, your interest, dividends and capital gains would be subject to your marginal rate and not the flat tax of 31.4%. This choice was irreversible even if the taxpayer later realised that it was not beneficial. As from next year, taxpayers will be able to change this option. However, for income received in 2025 and declared in 2026 this does not apply.

The thresholds for micro-entreprises will increase for income earned in 2026, 2027 and 2028 to €203,100 for Micro-BICS for sales of goods and holiday rentals and to €83,600 for other micro-BICs (furnished rentals, services and arts) and for micro-BNC businesses. However, the threshold remains at €15,000 for “meublé de tourisme non classé”.

After a strong start to 2026, gold’s “safe haven” status is being called into question. Traditionally seen as a less volatile asset class that can hold its value in times of crisis, hedging against equity market falls, since the conflict escalated in March, gold prices have fallen steadily. In France, there are two types of tax on gold, either a 11.5% on the sale price or at 36.2% on the gain with tapered relief based on the duration of ownership and full exemption after 22 years.

After the Easter weekend I will be back at work but then will take the second week of the school holidays to spend time with family. If you have any questions about your finances or taxes in France, please do get in touch to arrange a free, no obligation, phone call or meeting.

Why Americans Are Moving to Spain

By Matthew Green
This article is published on: 2nd April 2026

02.04.26

And What It Means for Their Finances

In recent years, Spain has become one of the most attractive destinations for Americans looking to relocate abroad. From the Mediterranean lifestyle to a lower cost of living and high-quality healthcare, Spain offers a compelling alternative to life in the United States. However, while the lifestyle benefits are clear, the financial implications are often less understood.

The Numbers Behind the Trend

The number of Americans living in Spain has steadily increased, driven by a desire for better work-life balance, more affordable living, and the rise of remote working opportunities. Many are choosing locations such as Valencia, Alicante, and Barcelona for their combination of lifestyle and accessibility.
Key reasons for the move include:

  • Improved quality of life
  • Lower living costs compared to major US cities
  • Access to affordable healthcare
  • Flexible working and digital nomad opportunities

The Financial Reality: You Don’t Leave the IRS Behind

One of the biggest surprises for American expats is that US tax obligations continue regardless of where they live. The United States taxes based on citizenship, meaning Americans must still file annual tax returns and report worldwide income.
In addition to US requirements, living in Spain may also mean exposure to Spanish income tax, wealth tax, and reporting obligations on overseas assets.

Why Cross-Border Financial Planning Matters

Financial planning becomes more complex when two tax systems are involved. Many US-based investments can be inefficient or problematic when held while living in Spain, potentially leading to higher tax bills or administrative challenges.
With the right planning, it is possible to:

  • Structure investments efficiently across jurisdictions
  • Reduce unnecessary tax exposure
  • Simplify financial reporting
  • Align financial plans with a new lifestyle in Spain

Turning a Lifestyle Move Into a Financial Advantage

Relocating to Spain is not just a lifestyle decision—it can also be an opportunity to improve financial efficiency. With careful planning, many expats can create more predictable income, improve tax outcomes, and protect their long-term wealth.

How We Help

We work with expats to help them understand both US and Spanish financial obligations, review existing investments, and build strategies that support their new life in Spain.

If you are an American living in Spain or considering the move, now is the time to ensure your finances are structured correctly. A simple review could help reduce tax, simplify your finances, and protect your long-term wealth.

Get in touch to arrange a no-obligation discussion.

UK and Spanish Inheritance Tax

By Barry Davys
This article is published on: 1st April 2026

01.04.26

A simple guide to key terms used in cross-border estate planning

Understanding inheritance terminology can be challenging, particularly when dealing with assets in both the UK and Spain.

Differences in legal systems, tax rules, and administrative processes can cause confusion for individuals and families managing cross-border estates. This guide is designed for UK nationals living in Spain, Spanish residents with UK assets, and anyone involved in administering an estate that falls under both jurisdictions. It explains commonly used inheritance and probate terms in clear language to help you better understand the process and make informed decisions.

Will

A written document prepared before a person’s death that sets out their instructions regarding who should manage the administrative aspects of their estate, who will be responsible for looking after their money and possessions while the process is being completed, and who they wish their assets to be distributed to.

Estate

The “estate” is the collective term for all financial interests of the deceased. This includes bank accounts, insurance policies, pensions, property, shares (including private and family-owned company shares), bonds, loans made to third parties that now need to be repaid, and other assets.

Forced Heirship (Spain)

In Spain, rules apply regarding how two thirds of an estate must be distributed. Children take priority over spouses, and only one third of the estate can be freely distributed.

However, for expatriates living in Spain, EU Regulation 650/2012 (“Brussels IV”) allows them to elect for the inheritance laws of their nationality to apply to their Will. For a UK national, for example, this makes it possible to distribute the entire estate in accordance with their wishes.

Please note that this EU regulation only applies if the instruction is expressly included in the Will.

Probate

Probate is the term used to describe the legal process of administering and distributing an estate.

In Spain, the document confirming distribution in accordance with the law and the Will is called the Escritura de Aceptación y Adjudicación de Herencia (Deed of Acceptance and Adjudication of Inheritance), which must be signed before a Spanish notary.

In the UK, the equivalent document is known as the Grant of Probate, which is issued by the Probate Office.

Trustee and/or Executor

A trustee and executor can be the same person, although it is often more than one individual in order to share the administrative responsibility.

The trustee is responsible for safeguarding the assets of the estate until they are formally transferred to the beneficiary. The executor is responsible for ensuring the legal formalities are completed so that the transfer of assets to the beneficiary is valid.

Beneficiary

A beneficiary is a person named in the Will who will receive all or part of the estate.

Bequest

A bequest is the term used to describe what is transferred to a beneficiary. This may consist of a single asset, such as a property, or multiple assets, such as property, bank account balances, and shares. A group of assets transferred together may also be referred to as a bequest.

Modelo 650

Modelo 650 is the Spanish tax form used to declare and pay inheritance tax and to support the preparation of the Escritura de Aceptación y Adjudicación de Herencia.

PA1P and IHT400

The UK form used to apply for a Grant of Probate is Form PA1P (if there is a Will) or PA1A (if there is no Will).

If inheritance tax is due, the executor must first complete Form IHT400.

Who Pays Inheritance Tax in the UK?

In the UK, the estate of the deceased is assessed for inheritance tax. The assessment is based on the total value of the estate.

Who Pays Inheritance Tax in Spain?

In Spain, each beneficiary who is a Spanish tax resident is assessed individually for inheritance tax based on the value of the assets they receive.

Double Taxation on Inheritances

As the UK and Spain tax different entities (the estate in the UK and the beneficiary in Spain), the same entity is not taxed twice. As a result, inheritance tax is generally outside the scope of the Double Taxation Agreement.

However, practical solutions may be available depending on individual circumstances, and appropriate professional advice should be obtained.

When Must Inheritance Tax Be Paid in Spain and the UK?

Inheritance tax is generally due within six months of the date of death. It is important to note that tax is not due from the date the beneficiary physically receives their bequest, which is a common misconception.

This six-month rule applies in both Spain and the UK:

  • In Spain, payment must be made within six months of the date of death.
  • In the UK, tax must be paid by the end of the sixth month following the death.

Case Study: Protecting Life Insurance from Inheritance Tax

At the start of every client relationship, we carry out a detailed discovery process to fully understand your personal and financial circumstances.

In this case, a married couple, both UK nationals living in Spain, held life insurance policies valued at £1,000,000 each. During our review, we identified that the appropriate Inheritance Tax mitigation documentation had not been put in place. Without this structure, the value of the life insurance policies would form part of their estate and could be subject to UK Inheritance Tax for their UK tax-resident beneficiaries.

Given that their estate exceeded the available allowances, this created a potential Inheritance Tax liability on the life assurance proceeds.

We implemented the appropriate documentation to ensure the policies were structured correctly. As a result, up to £400,000 per policy (£1,000,000 × 40%) in potential Inheritance Tax is avoided for their beneficiaries.

Important Notice

This article is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. We recommend seeking professional legal advice to assist with the probate and distribution processes of an estate.

A specialist Inheritance Tax and Wills lawyer works with us to provide this service.

For an introduction to the lawyer, please email:barry.davys@spectrum-ifa.com

Weathering the investment Storm

By Robin Beven
This article is published on: 26th March 2026

26.03.26

A Black Swan event is an unpredictable, rare shock with consequences that catch almost all investors off guard. First popularised by Nassim Taleb, the term Black Swan describes an occurrence that is unexpected, highly impactful and often reinterpreted as inevitable, but only after it has happened.

Events such as the 2008 financial/banking crisis, the sudden onset of the Covid 19 pandemic and the ongoing Iranian conflict (and related oil supply crisis) can trigger stock markets falls, disrupt supply chains, and upend entire economies, yet they appear almost impossible to foresee.

Because Black Swan events lie outside normal expectations, they are not just bad days for markets but systemic ruptures, geopolitical upheavals or economic shocks that can reduce our wealth dramatically and rapidly. A key risk consideration for investors is that even a medium risk investment portfolio built for moderate growth can suffer significant losses if it is not structured to absorb such shocks.

Diversification

Diversification: The first line of defence

The most straightforward way to reduce vulnerability to Black Swan events is through broad diversification. This means spreading your money across different asset classes such as equities (shares), bonds, cash and, for some portfolios, commodities such as gold. When one part of the portfolio falls in value, others may be less correlated or even benefit, for example government bonds often rise when equities fall, whilst gold can function as a safety mechanism in times of crisis.

A medium risk investor might for example hold a portfolio comprising global equity funds, international government and corporate bond funds and a small allocation to gold and cash. The goal is not to avoid all losses – diversification never fully eliminates risk – but to ensure that no single shock destroys capital and future growth prospects. Regular rebalancing, for instance trimming winners and adding to laggards, helps keep your intended risk level intact as markets move and ensures your investment strategy always remains aligned with your objectives.

Harry Markowitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist, said “diversification is the only free lunch when investing”. This statement refers to how investors can reduce portfolio risk (and volatility) without sacrificing potential returns, by holding a blend of assets, rather than being over-exposed to a single asset class such as equities.

Cash, liquidity and shock absorbers

Another practical safeguard is maintaining a meaningful cash or near cash buffer. This can come in the form of savings accounts, short duration bonds or money market funds that provide a dry-powder war chest, meaning stability and liquidity, when equity markets fall – this is particularly important when starting to draw an income from an investment portfolio in the first few years. For example, if a Black Swan event erupts and equities fall, a cash reserve allows you to buy assets at depressed valuations and avoids having to sell at a loss.

A typical rule of thumb is to keep sufficient liquid assets to cover six to twelve months of essential spending, plus an additional “shock” buffer if you rely on investment income to cover your usual outgoings. This approach, for a cautious, medium or even higher risk investor, reduces the need to sell during a downturn and aligns with the principle that safety is not just about avoiding volatility – a natural part of investing – but about preserving your ability to act when others are forced to flee. As the great investor Warren Buffett once said, “it’s only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked”!

Tail risk protection

Tail risk protection

We guide investors all along the Costas here in Spain to consider some degree of hedge against downside risk, commonly called “tail risk protection”. Black Swan and tail risk strategies have grown in popularity over recent years, offering the prospect of valuation stability during market turbulence. These types of investments can be held within a wider portfolio to provide valuable shock-absorption security without causing excessive drag on overall returns.

Time horizon, discipline and stress testing

The human side of Black Swan risk is often the most critical. A medium risk portfolio (likewise a cautious or even more adventurous portfolio) performs best when investors resist the urge to flee at the worst possible time – remember, the darkest hour is just before dawn! Stress testing your portfolio helps you focus on whether the current mix of assets and your personal risk tolerance are properly aligned.

A disciplined long-term approach with regular reviews and adjustments generally outperforms attempts to time these Black Swan events. By accepting that such shocks do occur from time to time, and by building robust diversification and liquidity into our investment planning, we can navigate market downturns without derailing returns.

Final thought

Consider that most big companies are legally bound to submit their audited accounts every year.   So why don’t we follow a similar practice as individuals for our own peace of mind?  We offer a free “financial audit”, whether for existing holdings or if you’re considering a new investment – please contact me to arrange at initial discussion.

Inflation in Spain: Why Retirees Need To Be Aware

By Jett Parker-Holland
This article is published on: 23rd March 2026

23.03.26

Inflation is something we’re all too familiar with; the same amount of money buys less than it used to. We’re reminded of inflation every time a café con leche costs a little more than it did last year, but when we look at what inflation really is, it doesn’t affect everyone equally.

Put simply, inflation is the rise in the cost of goods and services. We’re given the single figure that yearly inflation in Spain is 2.7%, but this is just an average figure, and not all prices increase at the same rate. When I speak with clients who are retiring, they are often worried about the effect of inflation on their lifestyle in Spain, and when we look at their spending, it’s clear that their personal inflation is often much higher than the 2.7% headline figure.

For retirees, inflation can hit hard, with some of their largest expenses being well above the average inflation rate. In Spain, we are seeing food inflation at over 3%, lifestyle costs rising by 4.3%, and home and utility expenses rising by over 6% annually. When these form a large part of your expenses, it’s understandable why inflation feels higher than the headline.

When personal inflation runs higher than expected, this can be a real concern for retirees, especially those holding larger cash balances in the bank. However, it doesn’t have to be all bad news: When expenses begin to outpace income, a financial review can make all the difference.

Even though we may feel the pinch, inflation doesn’t have to be entirely negative. While the cost of living is rising, so too are the values of many assets. For example, on the Costa del Sol, property prices have been increasing by around 5% per year. For those who own assets such as property or investments, this means inflation is not just increasing costs; it is also increasing the value of what they own. In that sense, inflation can begin to work in your favour, rather than against you.

Looking beyond markets: private assets and the real economy

For many, the real issue isn’t inflation itself; it’s where their money is held. When personal inflation exceeds the 1–2% typically offered by banks, savings quietly lose purchasing power over time, particularly once taxes are taken into account.

This is a common situation, but with the right structure, it is possible to ensure that wealth grows well ahead of inflation, while remaining far more tax-efficient and still accessible when needed.

This is something I help retirees with when they come to me for a financial review. The issue is often simple: their savings support their lifestyle, but are not keeping pace with the rising cost of living. Fortunately, we have helped many clients in this exact situation. The first step is to review their overall position. This typically includes their home, state and private pensions, and their savings. Many British expats benefit from receiving the full UK State Pension, which is a strong foundation as it is protected against inflation and increases each year. In 2026, for example, it is rising by 4.8%, reflecting higher UK inflation.

We then look at private pensions, where there is often an opportunity to improve both structure and performance. Ensuring that pensions are aligned with life in Spain, grow efficiently, and provide a sustainable income can have a noticeable impact.

Cash savings

Finally, we turn to cash savings. While it is important to maintain an appropriate level of cash, excess savings in the bank tend to yield low returns and are subject to annual taxation on interest. Over time, this can result in a gradual loss of purchasing power. With the right structure, however, it is possible to reposition these savings into low-risk investments designed to deliver stable returns, helping wealth to grow ahead of inflation rather than fall behind. This allows savings to generate stronger returns than traditional bank deposits, while producing an income that can keep pace with inflation. When these elements are brought together into a clear plan, the change can be significant. Clients move from gradually losing ground to having their finances work to support their lifestyle, both now and in the future.

The result is a more efficient structure, significantly reduced taxation, and the ability to enjoy more of life in Spain, while ultimately passing on greater value to their loved ones.

As a Chartered Wealth Manager based in Spain, I work with expatriates seeking to make the most of their lives in Spain. Often, a short conversation is enough to identify simple changes that can improve how clients structure their wealth and lifestyle.

If you have already relocated, or are considering a move, and are unsure whether your arrangements are structured efficiently, I am always happy to have an initial conversation. A well-timed review can make a real and meaningful difference.

Wealth Tax in Catalonia – Frequently Asked Questions

By Barry Davys
This article is published on: 19th March 2026

19.03.26

A common question from people living in Catalonia is about Wealth Tax; What assets are Wealth Tax based on, how it is calculated, how can we manage the amount we have to pay, when is it due and what forms are needed for Wealth Tax. This article gives insight into the answers to these questions.

What assets are Wealth Tax based on?

Wealth Tax in Catalonia is assessed annually on our Worldwide assets but less liabilities Eg mortgages.

  • Some assets are excluded including Family Business shareholdings (conditions apply), business or professional assets linked to your main source of income, intellectual or industrial property rights and some property rights. Jewellery, art and luxury items are not automatically exempt.
  • Art and Antiques can both be excluded IF they are registered with an historical heritage organisation.

How is wealth tax calculated in Catalonia?

Each individual is given an allowance of €500,000 before tax is assessed. In addition, there is an allowance for owners of their main residence of upto €300,000.  If your share of the house is €250,000 you can only claim €250,000 as the allowance. If your share of the house is €450,000, you will be given an allowance of €300,000 and the balance will be added to the rest of your wealth to be taxed.

Over and above these allowances, tax is calculated in a series of levels.  These levels start from the first euro above the allowances given in the answer above.  For example, if your wealth is €667,129.45 and you do not have a main residence, from the table below the tax will be €350.97. (667,129.45 -€500,000 = 167,129.45)

Wealth Tax Rates in Catalonia

Net tax base Up to euros Tax payable Euros Remainder of tax base Up to euros Applicable rate Percentage
0.00 0.00 167,129.45 0.210
167,129.45 350.97 167,123.43 0.315
334,252.88 877.41 334,246.87 0.525
668,499.75 2,632.21 668,500.00 0.945
1,336,999.75 8,949.54 1,336,999.26 1,365
2,673,999.01 27,199.58 2,673,999.02 1,785
5,347,998.03 74,930.46 5,347,998.03 2,205
10,695,996.06 192,853.82 9,304,003.94 2,750
20,000,000.00 448,713.93 upwards 3,480
Source: Agencia Tributaria, España

How can we manage the amount we pay?

The amount we pay is based on the assets listed above.  However, to avoid our total tax liability leaving us with little or no income, a “tax shield” (Escudo fiscal sobre el patrimonio) has been put in place.  This shield is based upon a set formula

  • Our total Wealth Tax and Income Tax for the year, added together, cannot exceed 60% of our income
  • When applying this 60% limit a minimum Wealth Tax must still be paid of 20% of the Wealth Tax due (Hence the informal name of the 60/20% rule)

A way, therefore, to manage our Wealth tax liability is to plan our income and our asset purchases.

  • When purchasing assets that will be assessed for Wealth Tax, consider buying them in joint names. Each individual will have the €500,000 allowance and also the Wealth tax value will be half of the total value per person. This can lead to a significant reduction in the 20% minimum tax due figure.
  • Some savings and investments make income payments. Others do not pay out income, instead allowing it to accumulate in the investment. Advice should be taken but including in your portfolio some savings that do not pay an income reduces the 60% of the income amount.
  • Structuring family business ownership carefully
  • Identifying and documenting the assets and rights of individuals related directly to their business or professional activities.

When is Wealth Tax due and what forms are needed?

The assessment for Wealth Tax is a section within our La Renta annual tax return.  The proper name of the form is Modello 100.  This is the form you are likely already completing for your income tax and savings tax.  Be sure to provide your tax lawyer with the values of assets that may be assessed for Wealth Tax so they can be included on La Renta.  This form must be submitted by the 30th June at the latest, whilst La Renta’s can be submitted as early as April.

An important point to note is that all the taxes arising from the La Renta have to be paid by the 30th June. This means any income tax, capital gains tax and Wealth tax have to be paid together.

What The Real Risk Investors Are Watching

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 14th March 2026

14.03.26

Geopolitics and Oil Prices

Over the past couple of weeks I’ve received a number of questions from concerned clients about the latest geopolitical developments and what they might mean for markets.

Whenever headlines become intense, it can understandably feel as though something dramatic must be happening in financial markets as well. The reality is often more nuanced — and this appears to be one of those moments.

In 30 seconds

Markets have reacted to rising geopolitical tensions, but the moves so far suggest caution rather than panic.

The key variable investors are watching is energy prices. Historically, bear markets tend to be linked to recessions, and the main risk from the current conflict is whether sustained oil price increases could slow economic growth.

middle east

Setting the Scene

Recent tensions in the Middle East involving Iran, the United States and Israel have dominated global headlines and created understandable concern among investors.

When events escalate quickly, it is easy to assume markets will react dramatically. Yet the response from investors so far has been far more measured. Markets have certainly moved, but the behaviour looks much more like caution than panic.

The real question investors are asking is not simply what is happening geopolitically — but whether it could become an economic shock.

So far, markets appear to be adjusting to geopolitical risk rather than assuming it will derail the global economy.

oil prices

What’s Happening

The most immediate reaction has been in energy markets.

Oil prices briefly surged as investors priced in the risk of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the most important shipping routes in the global energy system. At one stage prices approached $120 per barrel, before retreating to below $90, still significantly higher than the $65 level seen at the end of February.

This sensitivity reflects the strategic importance of the region. Roughly 20% of global oil supply normally passes through the Strait of Hormuz, meaning even temporary disruption can move prices quickly.

Equity markets have moved lower, although declines have been relatively contained. Across developed markets, equities have generally fallen between 2% and 6%, while emerging markets have seen slightly larger pullbacks due to their greater reliance on imported energy.

Safe-haven assets have also seen some demand. The US dollar strengthened, while gold briefly rose above $5,400 per ounce before easing again.

Despite dramatic headlines, the overall reaction has remained relatively orderly. As LGT Wealth Management noted in a recent update:

While the headlines have been dramatic, market moves so far suggest investors are reacting with caution rather than panic.

Interestingly, much of the volatility has occurred beneath the surface of markets. The Rathbones multi-asset team recently highlighted that while headline equity indices have only fallen around 3–4%, there has been significant rotation between sectors and individual stocks.

Chris Saunders of New Horizon Asset Management also notes that the conflict is beginning to affect other parts of the global economy. Disruptions to Iranian production have tightened fertiliser markets, pushing prices higher and raising the possibility that food prices could also rise in the months ahead.

bear market

Why It Matters

When geopolitical crises occur, investors tend to focus on one key question: Could this trigger a recession?

This distinction is important because historically bear markets (defined as a fall of 20% or more in stock markets) tend to occur when the economy enters a recession, rather than simply because geopolitical tensions increase.

One of the main channels through which geopolitical events can affect economic growth is energy prices. Economists often use a simple rule of thumb: every $10 increase in oil prices can add roughly 0.3% to inflation and reduce economic growth by a similar amount.

With current expectations for US economic growth around 2.2%, oil prices would likely need to rise well above $120–$130 per barrel and remain there for a sustained period before recession risks became materially elevated.

At present, prices remain below those levels.

However, as Chris Saunders notes, the key variable may be how long the conflict continues, as prolonged disruption to Middle Eastern energy supply could delay interest-rate cuts and keep inflation pressures elevated.

long term Perspective

Perspective

This helps explain why markets have responded cautiously rather than dramatically.

Periods of geopolitical tension can certainly create short-term volatility, but they rarely change the long-term trajectory of global markets unless they spill over into the broader economy.

Portfolio managers also emphasise the importance of remaining disciplined during periods like this.

As one Rathbones portfolio manager noted in a recent discussion:

“What was a good company before the weekend is still a good company afterwards. The share price may now be lower — which can create opportunities.”

Similarly, the investment team at Atomos emphasised that predicting short-term market movements during geopolitical crises is extremely difficult, reinforcing the importance of maintaining diversified portfolios designed to withstand periods of uncertainty.

Energy shocks can also accelerate structural change. Previous crises — including Europe’s energy shock following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — helped accelerate investment in renewable energy, batteries and alternative energy systems.

Key Insights

• Markets have reacted with caution rather than panic despite dramatic geopolitical headlines

• Oil prices remain the key variable investors are watching

• Historically, bear markets are far more closely linked to recessions than geopolitical events alone

• Current oil prices remain below levels historically associated with recession risk

• Maintaining a disciplined, diversified investment strategy remains the most effective approach during volatility

In Summary

Geopolitical developments will inevitably continue to evolve over the coming weeks. However, markets so far appear to be adjusting rather than overreacting.

History repeatedly shows that while headlines can move quickly, markets often prove more resilient than expected.

I hope you found this update interesting and helpful.

If anything has raised questions for you, or you’d simply like to talk something through, please don’t hesitate to get in touch. That’s exactly what I’m here for.

Please complete the form below:

Pension Update: UK State, Irish Executive Pensions & International SIPPs

By Peter Brooke
This article is published on: 12th March 2026

12.03.26

What do I need to know?

I hope this newsletter finds you well; So, pensions are back in the spotlight as governments in the UK and Ireland introduce meaningful changes that could affect how individuals and business owners save for retirement. In this edition, we break down what’s changing, why it matters, and what you should be thinking about next.

Should Expatriates Keep Paying UK NI Contributions After 2026?

As you may have seen in the recent UK budget from April 2026, most expatriates will no longer be eligible to pay Class 2 National Insurance Contributions (NICs) and will instead need to use Class 3 contributions which cost more — but this still may offer an excellent return on investment.

The ruling states:

“From 6 April 2026, individuals will no longer be able to pay voluntary Class 2 NICs for periods abroad. Only voluntary Class 3 contributions will be available for tax years 2026 to 2027 onwards.

This change does not affect any voluntary contributions that can be paid for periods abroad before 6 April 2026 – there is more detail here

What you should do next

  • Check your State Pension forecast – you can do this here: you will need a Government Gateway ID for the online system OR can contact them here
  • See how many missing years you have
  • Confirm that you’re eligible for Class 2 NI Contribution for previous years living abroad – check here
  • Consider topping up those years at the lower cost Class 2NICs

If you’d like help interpreting your forecast or reviewing your eligibility for Class 2 vs Class 3 contributions, feel free to share the summary or screenshots — I’ll walk you through the options.

The ruling also states that “New applications to pay voluntary Class 3 NICs will need to have either

  • lived in the UK for 10 years in a row
  • paid at least 10 years of National Insurance contributions while in the UK

What remains unclear is whether contributions paid for whilst abroad will count towards the 10 year rule and whether it is therefore sensible to pay for missing years before April 2026 to ensure you have 10 qualifying years so that you will be eligible to pay future years.

It certainly appears that long term non-UK residents, without 10 years of NICs, could be “locked out” of the system from April.

Why topping up is still worth it — even at Class 3 rates

Why topping up is still worth it — even at Class 3 rates

Based on current UK State Pension levels, even at Class 3 NIC rates (around £900 per year), each extra qualifying year typically adds about £330 per year to your State Pension for life (though this will depend on future government policy).

This means most people recover the cost in less than three years of receiving their pension — and every year after that is a financial gain.

You generally need 35 qualifying years of National Insurance contributions to receive the full UK State Pension. That’s why it’s important to know three things:

  1. How many qualifying years you already have
  2. How many past years you can still buy back (at Class 2 rates until April 2026, if eligible)
  3. How many future years you still have before reaching State Pension age

Once you understand these three numbers, you can work out exactly how many additional years you might need. And remember: you may not have to pay for every remaining year at the higher Class 3 rate after April 2026.

Many expatriates will reach the 35-year mark using a combination of existing contributions, cheaper buy-back years, and only a small number of future payments.

Government Gateway tip:

To log in, you need to receive a security code by text message. If you change your mobile number, make sure you update it with HMRC before you lose access to the old phone number. Otherwise, you may be locked out of your Government Gateway account and unable to view your State Pension record.

Changes to Irish Executive Pensions – What You Need to Know

Ireland is restructuring older Executive Pension Plans (EPPs), and by April 2026 the IORP II regulations (see details here) will require EPP schemes to either:

  • transfer into a Master Trust, or
  • transfer into a PRSA (Personal Retirement Savings Account)

…or risk becoming frozen or facing significantly higher running costs.

For clients living outside Ireland, the decision between these options is particularly important.

Why this decision matters

If you expect to remain an EU resident during retirement, there are often strong long-term reasons to transfer your pension out of Ireland; (I cant cover this in this newsletter but contact me if you want more information).

Because of this, it is crucial that whatever happens to your pension today does not restrict your ability to make that transfer in the future.

  • Moving your pension into a PRSA can, in most cases, limit or block your ability to transfer the pension out of Ireland at a later date, which can unintentionally reduce your planning flexibility.
  • A Master Trust may offer better long-term portability — but only if the trust deed specifically permits future overseas transfers.

Our guidance for clients

To protect your future options, we strongly recommend:

✔ Before agreeing to a Master Trust transfer, obtain written confirmation that the scheme allows transfers to foreign pension arrangements in the future.

Do not sign any PRSA transfer paperwork without a full review of the long-term implications.

✔ Forward any pension documents or transfer requests to us — we will assess them for you and advise on your position.

Our role

We help clients:

    • Analyse their current Irish pension structure
  • Confirm whether future overseas transfers will remain available
  • Ensure the chosen structure supports your long-term retirement strategy, not just short-term compliance

Personalised Guidance?

If you hold — or think you may hold — an Irish Executive Pension, reply to this email or click here to schedule a consultation.

We’ll ensure the restructuring supports your long-term financial interests, rather than simply following administrative defaults.

UK Private Pensions – Options for Expatriates

UK Private Pensions – Options for Expatriates

Since Brexit, many expatriates are discovering that once they are no longer UK-resident, it is often not possible to receive ongoing regulated advice on their UK pensions from either UK-based advisers or overseas firms like Spectrum.

We regularly see clients being contacted by their UK adviser or pension provider and told that the relationship must end — leaving them unadvised and unable to manage their pensions effectively.

At the same time, changes to pension regulation mean that QROPS transfers are now far less common and often no longer suitable. This leaves many expatriates unsure how to handle their UK pension schemes as they approach or move through retirement.

A practical solution: International SIPPs (Self Invested Personal Pension)

Your UK pensions can still be actively and professionally managed by a local adviser by transferring them to an International SIPP. This can also allow you to consolidate multiple pension pots into one, making your retirement planning far simpler.

An International SIPP can provide:

✔ Access to regulated advice
✔ Better consolidation and control, including currency options
✔ Potentially lower fees
✔ A flexible investment approach aligned to your residency and long-term goals

Our role

We can help you:

  • Assess your existing UK pensions
  • Guide the process of transferring to an International SIPP
  • Provide ongoing investment management
  • Build a long-term retirement strategy
  • Support your cross-border financial planning

If you have a UK pension and live abroad…

You don’t need to leave your pension un-managed. Send us your pension information and we’ll assess whether an International SIPP could allow us to advise you properly and optimise your retirement planning.

Just to recap…

Important pension changes are now underway across the UK and Ireland and for many expatriates and business owners these changes create both risk and opportunity.

  • From April 2026, most expatriates will no longer be able to pay low-cost Class 2 UK National Insurance, making it more expensive to build State Pension entitlement in future. Checking your record and filling any gaps early could significantly improve your lifelong retirement income.
  • In Ireland, older executive pension schemes are being forced to restructure under IORP II, by April 2026. The choice between a PRSA and a Master Trust is not just administrative — it can directly affect your ability to transfer your pension abroad in the future.
  • For those holding UK private pensions while living abroad, access to advice and suitable structures has become more restricted since Brexit. In many cases, an International SIPP now offers the most practical way to regain control, consolidate pensions, and receive ongoing professional management.

Across all three areas, the key message is the same: early decisions have long-term consequences. A short review today can protect flexibility, reduce future costs, and strengthen your retirement position.

If any of these changes affect you, we encourage you to get in touch. We’re here to help you navigate the complexity and ensure your pension remains aligned with your long-term plans.

Peter Brooke Spectrum IFA

If you have any questions please send them via the channels below, or the booking system – always drop me a quick message if you need a time slot outside of those available.
If you have missed any previous emails, click here to access the Archive.

For now, have a great day, speak soon…

Best regards

Peter Brooke

Mobile & Whatsapp: +33 6 87 13 68 71
Email: peter.brooke@spectrum-ifa.com
Calendly booking system: https://calendly.com/peterbrooke/30min

Banking, Italian style

By Andrew Lawford
This article is published on: 5th March 2026

05.03.26

Missing billions, shady finance, body-snatchers and a murder investigation.

Is it a new Netflix series?

No, it’s banking, Italian style…

Recently we have had confirmation that the proposed acquisition of Mediobanca by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS) will be completed. This amounts to the apparently inexplicable phenomenon of one of Italy’s best banks being taken over by what is, arguably, the country’s worst. Read on for proof that truth is certainly stranger than fiction in the world of Italian banking.

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena

Let’s start at the beginning. Well, not exactly the beginning, because MPS was founded in 1472. We do, however, need to go back to 2008 and the disastrous aftermath of the takeover of Dutch bank ABN Amro.

Many will remember this moment as the beginning of the end for Royal Bank of Scotland, the lead acquirer, but there were in fact two other banks involved in the takeover (Santander and Fortis), which led to a curious side-show in the context of ABN Amro’s Italian assets.

Banca Antonveneta, at the time a moderately important domestic bank, had only been acquired by ABN Amro in 2005 as a result of the bankopoli scandal.

This is a whole other story involving market manipulation, a corrupt Governor of the Bank of Italy (the only one ever to have been forced to resign) and an investor group that nicknamed itself I furbetti del quartierino (the local hustlers) – but I digress. Antonveneta ended up in the hands of Spanish group Santander as part of the ABN Amro takeover and the asset was assigned a value of €6.6 billion, yet it was sold a few days later to MPS for €9 billion. The ridiculousness of this situation was summed up by one of the analysts present when the deal was announced. He posed this simple question to MPS management: “Did you even negotiate the price for five minutes?”

broken bank

Of course, 2008 was no time to be doing an ambitious bank purchase and MPS soon found itself secretly counting the cost of the transaction. In order to save face, it organised a series of derivatives transactions designed to hide the reality of its deteriorating solvency position. It took a while for the truth to come out, but it was breathtaking when it did. The tone was set by the death of David Rossi, the bank’s Head of Communications, whose body was found in the alleyway beneath his office window in 2013.

Whilst officially ruled to have been a suicide, there was plenty of speculation that other, darker forces were involved. Of course, as is so often the case in financial frauds, lengthy court proceedings resulted in acquittals on criminal charges for all concerned.

Now, if the sordid story finished here with the collapse of MPS, the next chapter could not have been written, but of course politicians never want to let a good crisis go to waste and banks are always fun political toys.

Amongst the state’s interventions to prop up MPS, we can highlight the issuance of guaranteed bonds (Tremonti Bonds, named after the finance minister of the Berlusconi era, and then Monti Bonds, named after technocrat PM Mario Monti), subsequently repaid during rounds of capital increases that left the state on the hook for about €7 billion by the end of 2022. Subsequent equity sales brought in about €2.7 billion and left a remaining stake of about 12% in MPS. Following the takeover of Mediobanca, the state’s shareholding in the combined group has now been diluted to under 5%, currently worth somewhere over €1 billion. Not a great return on its investment so far.

Mediobanca

But what of Mediobanca? Founded immediately following the end of WWII to finance the reconstruction of Italian industry, it was led by Enrico Cuccia, a legendary figure in Italian finance, until his death in 2000.

It is said that Cuccia played his cards so close to his chest that he would type any particularly important letters on his own typewriter so as not to allow the possibility of sensitive information leaking from his office.

To give you a taste of the kind of deal Cuccia was famous for: when FIAT was in grave financial difficulties in the ‘70s, Cuccia arranged for Gaddafi’s Libya to buy a 10% shareholding – it wasn’t a good look for FIAT’s Gianni Agnelli, who was rather happier in the company of friends like Henry Kissinger, but needs must. It’s not surprising that Cuccia was generally considered to be the one pulling the strings that made the stock market move – a point that was made rather morbidly when his corpse was stolen from its grave on Lake Maggiore and held to ransom. The demand, aside from cash, was that the Milan stock exchange index had to regain the level of 50,000 points (+35%!) by the end of the year. This didn’t happen, so evidently there were at least some limits to the man’s power.

The question of course is: why has this transaction occurred?

The following is from the official MPS press release following the acquisition:
The new Group structure is aimed at achieving strategic and profitability objectives and at fully achieving industrial synergies so to maximize value creation. This configuration is designed to enhance the distinctive expertise of Mediobanca and its professional resources, within a specialized operating model.

Right. This type of communication is technically known as a supercazzola in Italian. Don’t worry about the lack of subtitles – nothing he says makes any sense, which is sort of the point…

The sad reality is that Mediobanca, aside from being one of the crown jewels of Italian finance, sits atop another crown jewel: a 13% shareholding in the insurer Generali, a stake currently worth about €7 billion. It may well be that the dismemberment of Mediobanca and Generali and the distribution of value to its shareholders will be part of the Italian government’s strategy to promote nationalist capitalism. It’s hard to resist the temptation to say that Cuccia, who studiously avoided political interference, will be rolling in his grave (yes, his body was eventually returned to its rightful resting place).

Crude awakening in the Middle East

By Gareth Horsfall
This article is published on: 4th March 2026

04.03.26

I wanted to communicate some information regarding what is going on in the Middle East with some information from Evelyn Partners ( one of our asset management partners) in an email newsletter to all advisers, which provides perspective regarding investments.    If you have any questions or thoughts, do not hesitate to get in touch and fingers crossed this situation does not last long! 

Crude awakening in the Middle East

Escalating tensions in the Middle East have brought renewed market volatility and lifted oil prices, but diversified portfolios offer resilience in periods of uncertainty

 
What has happened?

Over the weekend, tensions between the US, Israel and Iran escalated materially. Israeli strikes have reportedly targeted Iranian nuclear facilities, while the US has signaled a broader objective that may extend beyond deterrence towards regime change. Iran has responded with attacks affecting parts of the Gulf region, including strikes impacting areas in the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait, as well as Israel.

This marks a significant shift from prior contained flare-ups. Financial markets are responding to the risk of further escalation.

Initial market reaction

Three key price moves frame the immediate response:

  • Brent crude oil is up roughly 10%, to around $80 per barrel.
  • S&P 500 futures are modestly down approximately 1.5%.
  • Gold is up around 2.5%, reflecting demand for traditional safe havens.
The move in oil is central.

The move in oil is central.

Iran is a major exporter, and critically, more than 80% of Iranian oil exports go to China. Iran is also strategically important to China’s Belt and Road initiative, is a member of BRICS, and plays a role in facilitating trade outside Western sanction frameworks.

In that context, this is not just a regional issue; it intersects with broader US – China strategic dynamics. Should the US gain greater leverage over oil flows coming out of both Iran and Venezuela, it would provide Washington with a significant bargaining chip ahead of the upcoming summit between Presidents Trump and Xi of China.

Paradoxically, such leverage could also deter China from blockading or invading Taiwan, a far larger systemic risk to global markets given Taiwan’s dominance in producing advanced semiconductors.

oil producers

Key risks to watch

The primary “tail risk” remains disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly a fifth of global oil supply passes. At present, while there are signs of disruption – including higher shipping insurance costs and some tanker hesitancy – the Strait remains open and traffic continues. A full closure or mining of the waterway would represent a far more severe shock to energy markets and global growth.

There is also the risk of broader attacks on regional energy infrastructure or US-linked assets across the Gulf, as most of the key oil infrastructure sits within short-range missile range of Iran. However, at this stage, markets are pricing heightened uncertainty rather than a sustained supply shock.

It is also worth noting that global oil inventories have been rising, which provides a partial buffer against near-term supply disruption. That does not eliminate risk, but it may dampen the impact unless escalation becomes materially worse.

Equities have softened modestly, but earnings growth remains the dominant driver of equity markets. Corporate Earnings Per Share momentum has so far offset geopolitical and tariff concerns this year, and we are not seeing signs of systemic stress or disorderly market functioning.

Market Volatility

Portfolio implications

Periods like this are uncomfortable, but they are not unfamiliar. We have seen similar episodes – most recently during prior Israel–Iran tensions and in the 2022 energy shock.

History shows that while oil and gold often react sharply, diversified portfolios tend to prove resilient.

Across asset classes, we are seeing natural offsets:

  • Energy prices rise, supporting oil and gas equities.
  • Gold acts as a multi-use hedge during geopolitical stress.
  • Inflation-linked bonds, such as TIPS, provide protection should higher crude feed into inflation expectations.

Within equities, exposure to energy producers can help offset broader market weakness linked to rising oil prices. In fixed income, inflation-linked bonds could benefit from rising inflation expectations. Alternatives such as gold continue to demonstrate their value during energy shocks, as seen in previous episodes including 2022.

Investment strategies are designed with periods like this in mind. They are constructed to withstand geopolitical shocks, inflation pressures and bouts of market volatility, while remaining fully liquid and aligned with clients’ long-term objectives and risk profiles.

Looking ahead

We expect markets to remain volatile in the days ahead. News flow may be intense and, at times, sensational. It is important to distinguish between media tone and market fundamentals.

At this stage, this is not a systemic market event. We are not seeing disorderly trading conditions or liquidity stress.Remain vigilant and ready to adjust portfolio positioning should fundamentals materially change.

For now, the appropriate stance is calm, disciplined and long term. Periods of geopolitical tension are unsettling, but diversified portfolios are designed to navigate precisely these environments. We will continue to monitor developments closely and keep clients informed with measured, evidence-based updates as the week progresses.

I know these are not easy time and so if you have any questions, or would just like to send me some comments then feel free to do so. I am always interested to hear your thoughts on these matters.